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Eagle1993

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Everything posted by Eagle1993

  1. I don't disagree this is a concern. I've read the book and highly recommend it. It was both entertaining and informative. Add in AI and I think we have the trifecta of ways we can destroy ourselves and the planet.
  2. Earlier this year I worked through Ansestery.com to research my family linage. I was able to find family members in the USA back in the 1600s. For the most part it was interesting and in some cases I was able to find a lot of interesting details. Unfortunately, I found a couple who had records of owning slaves (my 9th great grandfather/mother and a 10th great grandfather). That started a discussion with my coworkers ... what horrible thing are we doing now that our 9th great grandchildren will look back in horror (as they comb through Facebook, Twitter and Scouter.com archives). Nearly unanimously we agreed ... the burning of hydrocarbons. While there is definitely debate how quickly warming will hit, it is clear our CO2 levels are already exceeding any level seen in the last 2M+ years and they continue to rise. Listening to some climate scientists talk, it appears the real hoax is that the scientific community is understating the future impact. Rarely do they talk beyond the year 2100 and many models assume massive reductions in C02 emissions ... and there is reason for that. If everyone knew how bad it is going to get (based on what has already been done) governments and citizens may simply give up. While we won't be alive to see the greatest impacts, I do think we are responsible (similar to my 9th great grandfather's ownership of slaves) and should help turn the tides. In terms of the WOSM taking a stand .... I'm not sure what drove them to do that. However, I do see scouts as stewards of the environment. Perhaps someone thought the forest fairies have concerns greater than a small piece of packaging. I don't know if their statement will help and in general, I have not been impressed with the solutions presented (many are too expensive or require too great of change in lifestyle). That said, I don't have an issue with scouting organizations putting pressure (within reason) on governments to protect the environment.
  3. One could argue that reducing CO2 is very much in line with leave no trace and the outdoor code.
  4. I think parents are less interested in volunteering for any activity; however, scouting takes more time than most. In K5, if you make the mistake of signing up to be a den leader, you are looking at 9 months x 6 years (54 months of volunteer work). If you sign up to coach a kids soccer team, that may be 3 months of work and absolutely no expectations you would do that every year going forward. In addition, the number of adults required to run a good pack is excessive (12 den leaders, Cub Master, ACM, CC, COR and a few other committee members). If you have a pack of 80-90 kids this is achievable... If you have 10-20 impossible. I talked with a few pack leaders recently and it doesn't look good. The program needs to greatly simplify and the changes made were not sufficient. BSA may need to look at other sources of volunteers (than parents) even at the unit level.
  5. Listened to the argument. My thought (again who knows): Would uphold Purdue plan: Thomas, Kavanaugh Would reject Purdue plan: Gorsuch, Barrett, Jackson On the fence (or just tougher to read): Roberts, Alito, Sotomayor, Kagan Boy Scouts Plan was brought up and the DOJ indicated it may still be ok as appeals could be considered moot. I do think there is a lot of concern of what will happen if the plan is rejected and the DOJ didn't do a good job explaining that. So, I could see a path where they accept the plan and perhaps set a high bar on non-consensual releases. If I had to be, I would bet there.
  6. This has been debated previously and there are differing opinions. That said, organizations are responsible for both paid staff and volunteers. If an organization was so poorly run and organized to allow volunteers to repeatedly rape children, I do think that organization should be held accountable. In addition, there is evidence that BSA intentionally covered this up. While I understand society changed over time (background checks didn't exist in the past) I really struggle with the cover up that seemed to be occurring at national. BSA could have decided to fight this in court, but they decided to declare bankruptcy instead. I think most agree that is a poor method of working through the history of abuse and what results is far from imperfect.
  7. Any talk about the future of the BSA must begin with the financial situation it is in. Unlike most bankruptcies, BSA doesn't leave it nearly debt free and in stable financial shape. They entered bankruptcy with nearly $300M in cash and $180M endowment. The endowment is gone and cash is at $25M. They also added to their debt right before the bankruptcy ... and exited with all of that debt $222M of secured debt (I believe on their HA bases) and $364M of debt on Summit. So, $25M of cash on hand and $586M of debt. Let's say that loan is 4% and 30 years ... that is $34M a year in debt payments starting back up. Or ... $34 per every scout per year. At $80 per scout in National Fees, removing $34 for debt and likely $50 for insurance doesn't leaves any room to pay anyone at National. They need to refill their endowment and find a way to reduce that debt fast. Growing membership will be important, but $80 per scout won't get them out of this hole fast enough.
  8. I'm sure Sea Scouts/Venturing cost money at National. There is some amount of insurance, some attention form leadership, etc. If numbers keep dropping there will be a risk vs return point where BSA feels it is no longer worth the risk/cost of supporting the programs. BSA gets about $1M of revenue a year from them (from fees)... much of that probably goes to insurance. So in terms of fees., the number of members left provide little revenue to offset any cost. If they get a lot of donations backing these programs, they will last. If donors don't care much about these programs... My guess they are at risk. So donations will really be key to keep them around long term. I really think the future of the BSA will be based on donors. What do individual and corporate donors want to see in a scouting program. Looking forward to our new AI offerings ...
  9. Our Troop will likely hit around 24 scouts by the end of the year. 5 years ago we were 84 and had 53 attend summer camp. 12 of my 24 age out by 2025, so we really need to see more Cubs crossing over soon. Two other Troops in my area have shuttered and one went from 70-80 to 8. I fear we are headed to a future of BSA having 90% of members in Cub Scouts and Scouts BSA limited to a small barely supported group maintaining a tradition.
  10. I bet we do see overall growth Jan to Jan by the end of the year (the would need to add at least 11,902 more scouts). However, rechartering impact probably won't be officially counted until March. Expect the revised Cub and Scouts BSA to show declines there. I think in Jan 2023 we showed 3% overall growth which was nearly completely wiped away by March. Personally I think the March to March numbers are most accurate (however, that will change going forward with rolling renewals).
  11. The full year membership + increasing council fees are a concern. I know our Council is pouring everything into Cub Scouts (almost ignoring Scouts BSA outside of Merit Badge clinics). Hopefully that works as the Scout BSA Troops are really starting to suffer from the lean Cub Scout years.
  12. Any updates on how recruiting looks this fall? I seem to remember seeing a lot of updates last fall, in terms of major growth of Cub Scouts, but haven't seen the same updates this one. Curious if anyone has seen Cub Scouts continuing to grow and any turn around in Scouts BSA.
  13. That research was likely before the addition of Lions. I just met a pack yesterday and they are desperate to transition AOLs ASAP. Kids and parents are burnt out, limited interest left in Cub Scouts. Pack leaders said if transition waits until May we may only see one kid. Ive seen transitions diminished over the last 3 years. Some of that is COVID but Pack leaders are telling me burn out it hitting during 4th grade. I'm not sure if the new program is better, but retention is currently really bad, not sure it can get worse.
  14. CFL was the summer camp our Troop went to for several years. Our old camp site was hidden in a clearing that has been buldozed to the ground and replaced with RV pads. I was told There was a former scout, from Texas, that offered the council the same amount that was offered by the third party. The former scout only request was to keep it as a scout camp. The council decided it wasn't in their best interest as it was far from their home location and it was a lot of work and expense to maintain. My council sold one of their remaining camps... Only one left. These camp sales are wearing me down.
  15. I found this interview more promising than Mosby. Travel sports, social media and online gaming are major changes to what youth do and how they interact. BSA has been slow to recognize this and hopefully Krone can find a way to break through. I think BSA also needs to understand that there are pressures on the volunteer model. Stay at home moms and the 40 hour work week are not common. Finding ways to lower burden and burnout on/of volunteers will also be critical to success. looking forward to a fireside chat or town hall soon!
  16. I hope so too. However, there is a pretty big difference in running an organization where most of your "employees" are volunteers, you are not measured in OM% and you are not selling products to the government. His only connection to scouting seems to be from his youth. I don't see any connection to running non-profits or youth organizations. Roger has no Twitter (x) account that I could find, no social media presence, etc. In terms of accomplishments, one of the biggest he listed as winning the DoD EHR contract with Cerner. That has been a disaster that has led to congressional hearings. Nearly all of his income came from running a company that is able to manage government contracts. Nothing wrong with that ... but I really struggle to see how this translates into BSA leadership. I fully agree. Hopefully he starts reaching out to scouts/volunteers ... listens to feedback and takes action, etc. Mosby was absent these last few years, hopefully Mr. Krone can improve.
  17. Why, why, why do we hire retired leaders? My guess this is more about getting ties into industry for donations than an leader who really wants to learn how scouting is done today, what parents/society/youth need and making necessary changes.
  18. Very strict. They won't even let you stay in base camp. If you go, come in several pounds under. There are stories of adults who traveled, gained a pound or two and went over and then were sent off site after weigh in.
  19. If it is overnight that won't be an option. The option is to register as a leader or don't have your kid attend. Very similar to GSUSA.
  20. Thanks! I remember it was listed but couldn't find it in the various plan documents. I wonder if the trust has to report monthly updates regarding their accounts/expenses. I haven't seen it in the docket.
  21. I wonder if certain insurers would be willing to post that bond on their behalf. If they can get the stay, I think there is a decent chance the plan is thrown out in June. It now may be worth that bond payment from them...
  22. Coming Sept 6 https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-news/scouts-honor-netflix-trailer-debut-boy-scouts-child-sexual-abuse-cover-up-1234806388/ https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/scouts-honor-trailer-previews-netflix-165444814.html
  23. Hope you are correct. Questions... 1) Most of the $ comes from insurance companies and little has been paid. What percentage of the billions committed has been paid? I wonder how it will be moot if the powder is still dry. 2) It is clear the Supreme Court is now questioning non consensual non debtor releases. This is a change and one would think appellants will highlight this change in their appeals. Could that cause insurance companies to slow role the process? The big question is if non debtor releases are unconstitutional, doesn't that open up COs and Local Councils to lawsuits even if the plan is approved?
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