During Covid, membership at one point was at about 655,000, so he's probably right that overall scouting eventually clawed back about 260,000 post Covid. Scouting hasn't, however, added 260,000 in the past year.
Another facet of this that may arise under the new registration system...
We have several units who cannot be renewed because the leaders have not renewed. Yet, those units have Scouts who renewed online for 2026.
I hope the number will be small, but for a time, we are going to have Scouts with current registrations whose units have shuttered.
They'll need to find new homes.